The LT3000 Blog

Eclectic musings on value investing, business, economics, and life

Saturday, 4 March 2017

J-walking, and how investors' risk perceptions are irrationally distorted

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I attended the University of Auckland between 2001-05. Throughout this period I had to J-walk back and forth across a busy street regularly ...
Thursday, 2 March 2017

A (satirical) interview with the co-founder of dollar-discount.com

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Today it is my great pleasure to introduce to you the co-founder and CEO of dollar-discount.com. Since its founding two years ago, the compa...
Wednesday, 1 March 2017

Brokerage/ETF price wars, and implications for the cost of capital

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The Wall Street Journal reported this morning that Fidelity has announced a reduction in its online trading commission rates from US$7.95 to...
Tuesday, 28 February 2017

Giving Money3 a wide berth

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I recently took a quick look at ASX-listed Money3 (MNY AU). A well-known NZ-based small-cap outfit own it and have labelled it one of their ...
Monday, 27 February 2017

Vacationing in Japan, and going long Yen

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I took a break from blogging (and more than casual on-the-road research) last week by taking a quick vacation to Japan - a long overdue firs...
Thursday, 16 February 2017

Why I worry more about a melt-up than a melt-down

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Most stock market investors worry incessantly about the risk of a potential market melt down. I don’t. I worry about the risk of a market m...
Wednesday, 15 February 2017

Fortress Investment Group; buying breakouts; position sizing; and perpetual self-loathing

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I woke up to a pleasant but also slightly bittersweet surprise today over my morning coffee – overnight (I reside in Asia) Softbank had a...
Tuesday, 14 February 2017

Martial arts & the UFC; Michael Lewis; and why rouge punters predicted the GFC, not the mainstream

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Michael Lewis has stated that what inspired his fantastic book The Big Short (subsequently made into a Hollywood movie) was the mystery and ...

Crisis investing, prejudice, 'blink' investing, and Ferrexpo as a compelling long

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I like to go hunting for bargains in off-the-beaten-path places, and particularly in areas of distress. When a figurative financial bomb ...
Monday, 13 February 2017

Bubble-trouble with Australian/NZ mortgage risk-weightings

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Approaching a decade on from the global financial crisis (GFC), I continue to remain amazed by how little the world has learnt. Indeed, Aust...
Sunday, 12 February 2017

Do tax cuts for the rich help or harm the economy? It depends!

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A frequent source of public policy confusion is the issue of whether corporate tax cuts/tax cuts for the rich (the two are similar but not...
Saturday, 11 February 2017

Why the CAPE multiple is fatally flawed

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The Cyclically-Adjusted PE (CAPE) multiple – usually calculated as the market price divided by 10yr average inflation-adjusted EPS – is fas...
Wednesday, 8 February 2017

KORS 3Q result no kors for concern

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The LT3000 Blog got off to a seemingly inauspicious start by posting a long thesis on KORS a day before the company’s 3Q result came in s...

Beijing Capital International Airport: Ready for take-off

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Over the past few months, I have accumulated a 70bp position in Beijing Capital International Airport (694 HK) at an average price of HK$7....
Tuesday, 7 February 2017

Michael Kors is out of fashion

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I recently initiated a 20bp position in Michael Kors (KORS US @ $41.09) – the global luxury goods company run (Chief Creative Director) b...
Monday, 6 February 2017

Welcome

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Welcome to The LT3000 Blog. I have recently left a decade-long occupation as a professional securities analyst to pursue my passion as ...
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About Me

Lyall Taylor
Former sell-side Equity Analyst/regional Head of Research; long time stock market enthusiast; and current Portfolio Manager of a self-seeded fund (LTCP Fund) on Wealth Management Alliance's (WMA) platform. If you are an accredited investor and have investment interest, you can contact me at lta@wma.asia for further information.
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